BAGUIO CITY – It will be a ‘down the wire finish’ among three of the aspirants for the lone congressional district of Baguio City while the race for the city’s mayoralty and vice-mayoralty positions will be dominated by the incumbent city officials based on the latest results of an independent survey conducted in the 128 barangays last April 18-22, 2016.
The Manila-based Philippine Social Beat, which opted not to divulge those who commissioned the survey, cited there were 3,206 respondents from the city’s 128 barangays who were asked face to face on who will be their preference for the different national and local elective positions with a margin of error of 1.67 percent.
Businessman Mark Go and comebacking lawmaker Bernardo M. Vergara are considered to be statistically tied for the city’s congressional race after garnering 33.44 and 32.81 percent, respectively while re-electionist Rep. Nicasio M. Aliping, Jr. came in close with 31 percent. Engr. Rudy Aspilan was able to get 1.76 percent while Edgardo Duque got only 0.59 percent.
In the mayoralty race, incumbent three-term Rep. and five-term Mayor Mauricio G. Domogan got 46.72 percent, retired Regional Trial Court (RTC) Judge Edilberto Claravall came in second with 30.94 percent, self-proclaimed human rights lawyer Jose M. Molintas was third with 18.65 percent and Engr. Willy Hernandez got 1.87 percent.
Incumbent Vice Mayor Edison R. Bilog leads the pack with 47.19 percent followed by six-term Councilor and one-term Vice Mayor Betty Lourdes F. Tabanda with 23.11 percent, three-term Councilor Isabelo Cosalan, Jr. with 16.66 percent, three-term Councilor Fred Bagbagen with 8.30 percent and Jeffrey Pinic with 1.99 percent.
In the presidential race, Senator Grace Poe is the preferred choice of Baguio voters with 34.59 percent followed by Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte – 30.47 percent, Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago – 13.97 percent, United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) standard-bearer Jejomar Binay – 1098 percent and administration bet Mar Roxas – 8.92 percent.
Senator Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ R. Marcos, Jr. dominated the vice presidential choice of city voters with 67.09 percent while Senator Francis Joseph Escudero and administration candidate Rep. Lenny Robredo are statically tied with 9.67 and 9.42 percent, respectively. Senator Allan Cayetano came in close third with 7.52 percent while Senators Gringo Honasan and Antonio Trillanes are statistically tied at fourth with 2.96 and 2.90 percent, respectively.
60.32 percent of the respondents were females while 39.68 were males from the city’s 128 barangays wherein 2 percent of the total voting population of each barangay were taken as samples for the face to face interview.
- 48 percent of the respondents belong to the 31-45 age bracket, 26.54 percent were within the 46-60 age bracket, 23.36 percent belong to the 18-30 age bracket and 13.04 percent were 61 year old and above.
In terms of religious affiliation, 74.11 percent of the respondents were Catholics, 11.04 percent belong to the born again Christians, 3.84 were Protestants or Baptists, 2.52 percent belong to the Iglesia ni Cristo and 0.94 percent are Islam while 7.04 percent did not specify their religions.
In terms of sources of income, 38.62 percent relay on salaries and wages, 2907 percent have their own businesses, 9.64 percent of the respondents rely on remittances of their relatives, 6.96 percent have monthly pensions while 14.10 percent did not specify their sources of income.
32 percent of the respondents were high school graduates, 31.88 percent were college graduates, 22.80 percent were college under graduates, 7.33 percent were elementary graduates while 5.55 percent were vocational graduates.
In terms of ethnicity, 53.21 percent of the respondents were Ilocano, 12.48 belong to the Kankanaey tribes, 8.52 percent were Bontocs, 4.47 were Ibalois, 3.93 percent were Ifugaos, 2.12 percent were Waray or Ilonggo while 16 percent did not divulge the tribes where they belong.
69.62 percent of the respondents get their information from television, 42.86 percent cull their information from newspapers, 39.43 percent use radio as their source of information, 27.92 percent use the internet and social media as source of information, 21.15 percent use cable television, 5.49 percent use civic groups, 5.40 percent use their members of the family and clan and 1.38 percent did not specify their sources of information.
It can be recalled that the Philippine Social Beat conducted similar surveys in the city last August and December 2015.